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New Study Predicts Rise in Hybrid Sales

Report says better battery technology and global oil consumption will drive growth of almost 20 percent.

By Douglas Newcomb Jul 25, 2012 12:50PM

2012 Toyota Prius. Photo by Toyota.A new report by analysts at TechNavio paints a “green” picture of the global growth for hybrid vehicles over the next few years, predicting a sales increase of almost 20 percent through 2015. In the Global Hybrid Car Market report, analysts point to increasing worldwide oil consumption and initiatives by governments “to create awareness and acceptance of hybrid cars” as driving the sales growth of hybrids, as well as car buyers' awareness that the vehicles create less pollution and reduce dependence on natural resources.

 

Taking into consideration the leading automakers in the industry -- Toyota, Honda, Ford, Nissan, General Motors and BMW -- the report says that the development of more efficient battery systems and their lower cost will reduce the price of  these fuel-efficient alternatives to traditional gasoline vehicles. The report also predicts that the total cost of ownership for hybrid vehicles will be less than for gas-only vehicles by 2020, thanks to improved battery technology.

 

But the report also notes that the current high cost of hybrid vehicles “is acting as a barrier to the market growth.” While high gas prices and government incentives have helped to drive sales of some hybrids, the vehicles still usually come with a premium price tag. Plus, more automakers are now focusing on building high-mileage gasoline-powered vehicles -- even U.S. automakers that traditionally have ceded the segment to imports and focused instead on trucks and other large passenger vehicles -- which makes the break-even point for purchasing a hybrid even longer, in some cases.

 

Given that hybrid technology has matured, is a hybrid vehicle in your future -- or even on the list of your considerations?

81Comments
Jul 25, 2012 5:29PM
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I went from a Cadilac Escalade to a Ford Fusion Hybrid.  Yea, I miss the Escalade, but I don't miss the frequent gas station visits.  The Fusion is a classy car and at the end of the day I have more money in my pocket to spend here in the US and less money going over seas (gas)

 to countries that don't like America.

Jul 25, 2012 7:54PM
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CDI Chemist Guy's assertion that diesel must be converted from gasoline is entirely false.  Diesel falls out of the oil distillation process sooner than gasoline.  It takes more energy and more distillation/refining to produce gasoline than it does diesel.  This is simply a cold hard fact of the distillation process, based on chemistry.  One more reason these posts are full of drivel.  Do your own research.
Jul 25, 2012 4:15PM
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The best car you can own is the one you have paid off.  For a $400. to $600. a month payment for a hybrid, one can buy a lot of gas for the car one owns already.  When the gouging prices come down, more people will consider owning hybrids.  Till then, I, for one, am out!
Jul 25, 2012 5:15PM
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Let's see.  The USA has what - 5% of the worlds oil?  So drill and use it up is smart?  And don't forget - oil once burned is gone - so having it to create plastic and meds, etc. at least gets more expensive - and if it is gone - there are only so many old milk bottles and water bottles out there we can reprocess.  And using a resource like say - the sun, or wind, or water - is dim witted because - it creates less polution?  Or leaves us less likely to be the victim of oil price surges when major players like Libya go offline for a time?  (oops - Libya was not a major player - and the p-rice of oil spiked anyway -  but you may - or may not get my drift).  But we can depend on the major producers - like our friends Iran, Nigeria, Venezuela, Russia, Saudi Arabia etc etc to have our back?  They wouldn't screw us - now would they?  Great plan.

 

By the way - I just leased a Volt last month.  "Merican" car - getting the equivalent of 67 miles to the gallon right now.  And don't tell anyone - but I made it up to 90 without knowing it the other day when passing a car on a two lane.  I did not expect the pickup - will know better than to do that again.  But hey - keep buying oil - its the right thing to do to assure American security and superiority in the world.

 

By the way - did you folks know that GM was developing the Volt before Obama was elected?  And that George W. Bush signed into law those incentives that you are whining about?  Probably not huh?  Must be satisfying to be so right - right - about everything -

Jul 25, 2012 4:31PM
Jul 25, 2012 4:48PM
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Diesel is the best way to go for Hybrid and normal cars and suv.

Not sure why the USA is not embracing a free 25% increase in MPG and we get to keep all that lowend torque

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I own a Prius, and although there are a few cars I might prefer, getting 52 mpg overall (based on 17,000 miles driven) is NOT something I would easily give up.  I've just about covered any "increased cost" for the hybrid aspect.
Jul 25, 2012 5:54PM
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Natural gas vehicles and ethanol with sugar cane or beets is more practical and energy efficient. If most of our big rig trucks were to go to natural gas we would save all that fuel for automobiles and reduce the amount of oil needed. Most city buses are natural gas and large company fleet vehicles can be natural gas which we have plenty of. Corn for ethanol is stupid, we should never use a food staple for a fuel source. Brazil proved that sugar cane is more efficient for ethanol production. I would buy a battery car when the technology catches up with reality and the cost comes down. However you will still be able to buy a full sized vehicle that runs on natural gas and not a shoe box death trap! The Ford F-150 will be natural gas for some models soon and the natural gas filling stations will follow.
Jul 25, 2012 5:36PM
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I will only buy one when I feel that I am sayving $$$$$$.  THE ONLY WAY !!!!  I am not talking about breaking even !!! I want to save save save !!! if I save the planet but kill myself financially... what's the point !!!  Money talks as always !!! it makes no sense that we have to wait another 8 years for the price to be competive with gasoline !!! in 8 years who knows what will happen???
Jul 25, 2012 6:11PM
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Actually the corn used for ethanol is not even close to food corn - try eating some and see how that works out. Sugarcane is a food and fat Americans eat too much of it. Natural gas for fuel is not some liberal scheme. Its biggest proponent is Boone Pickens who would shoot you if you called him a liberal. So how's natural gas as a fuel doing? You should track the free market and look at stocks that are involved in the industry - FSYS and  CLNE are two such stocks. As for sugarcane ethanol, CZZ is the Brazilian choice.
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